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China's bond market is experiencing a historic rally, prompting traders to increase leveraged bets in anticipation of further policy easing amid concerns over potential US tariffs. The volume of overnight repurchase contracts surged to 7.6 trillion yuan (US$ 1.04 trillion) on Tuesday, marking the highest level since August 2023, as traders leverage this popular borrowing tool to capitalize on the ongoing rally in local sovereign bonds.
UBS Global Wealth Management's Mark Haefele noted that President-elect Trump's proposed tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China have led to currency declines and market volatility. While the tariffs aim to leverage negotiations on migration and drug trafficking, Haefele maintains a positive outlook on US equities, citing strong growth prospects despite potential trade risks. He recommends a defensive stance on China stocks and suggests diversifying portfolios with gold and alternative assets.
The economic landscape under Trump 2 is marked by potential growth from tax cuts and deregulation, particularly benefiting financials and energy sectors, while tariffs may negatively impact imports and emerging markets. Gold prices have corrected sharply post-election, influenced by a stronger USD and geopolitical uncertainties, with expectations of continued central bank gold buying. The overall economic outlook suggests a soft landing, but risks from fiscal policies and inflation remain significant.
ASML Holding N.V. is a leading manufacturer of lithography equipment for the semiconductor industry, with 79.6% of its sales from lithography equipment and 20.4% from services. Geographically, the company generates significant revenue from Taiwan (29.3%), South Korea (25.2%), and China (26.3%), while the Netherlands accounts for just 0.1%.
Emerging market equities are projected to achieve low-teen returns by the end of 2025, driven by a combination of factors including a potential shift in US tariff policies, China's stimulus efforts, and ongoing rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Despite the promising outlook, challenges such as trade uncertainties and geopolitical tensions persist, particularly affecting countries like India and Brazil, which could benefit from the evolving global landscape if they adopt appropriate strategies.
Valeo, a leading automotive equipment supplier, reports its sales breakdown: Powertrain systems (31.1%), Visibility systems (25.1%), Thermal systems (21.5%), and Comfort and driving assistance systems (21.1%). The company operates 175 production sites globally, with sales concentrated in Europe and Africa (42.3%) and North America (18.6%).
Mercedes-Benz Group AG, a leading global automaker, reported sales of 2.5 million vehicles in 2023, with passenger cars and commercial vehicles accounting for 83.2% of sales. The company also offers financial and mobility services, making up 16.8% of its revenue. Geographically, sales are distributed across Germany (16.8%), Europe (23.7%), the USA (23.5%), China (16.5%), and other regions.
K.P. Sharma Oli, Nepal's veteran communist politician, has returned as prime minister for the fourth time and is set to visit China. His goal is to encourage Beijing to revitalize planned infrastructure projects during this days-long trip.
The ASX 200 reached a new milestone, surpassing 8500 points for the first time, driven by positive US economic data and dovish comments from Federal Reserve Chair Waller. Key sectors saw gains, with healthcare stocks like Ramsay Health Care rising 3.15% and technology stocks boosted by a record high in the Nasdaq 100. The market's upward momentum is supported by strong retail sales and improved manufacturing data from China.
Most Asian stocks rose, led by tech firms, as new US restrictions on Chinese tech exports were less severe than anticipated. Japan's Topix gained 1.3%, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell 0.6%. The dollar strengthened, and traders are preparing for significant economic data this week, including the US jobs report. Oil prices dipped slightly ahead of an OPEC+ meeting, and gold remained stable within a narrow range.
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